Celje vs NK Bravo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
5º
1º
50
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NSM
0 - 2
CEL
40%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
ALU
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAD
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
CEL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Bravo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
RAD
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 2
DOM
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
2 - 0
BRA
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 2
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NSM
1 - 1
BRA
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |