Celje vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEL
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 3
FCK
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
TAS
0 - 1
CEL
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 3
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
LOK
1 - 0
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 1
NSM
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 2
RAD
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
SDC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
ALU
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 0
FCK
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |