Celik Niksic vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celik Niksic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 1
FKC
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 3
FKC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FKC
0 - 0
BUD
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ZET
3 - 1
FKC
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PET
0 - 0
FKC
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
4 - 0
BER
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
PET
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MLA
2 - 1
MOR
67%
21%
13%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
FKC
1 - 4
MOR
17%
23%
61%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
MOG
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |