Celaya vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
UAT
2 - 4
TOR
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 2
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 2
ALE
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
LEO
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAÑ
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
UAT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |