Celaya vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALE
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
JUA
32%
30%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATL
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAF
3 - 2
CAÑ
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 5
TEP
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UAT
2 - 1
CAÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
ALE
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |