Celaya vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATS
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 2
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
QRO
0 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
MER
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
CAÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
AUR
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NEC
2 - 1
CAÑ
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
LOB
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |