Celaya vs UAEM Potros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 2
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
TAM
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
TOR
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
UDG
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAF
3 - 2
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UAEM Potros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UAP
6 - 1
MER
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
UAP
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UAP
2 - 2
CAÑ
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UAT
1 - 0
UAP
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
UAP
1 - 0
ALE
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |