Celaya vs Tampico Madero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
10º
4º
9
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 30 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 27 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 24 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 16 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 16 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 12 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
82.5% | 11% |
|
Final Series
|
15% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
ZAC
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TEM
2 - 1
TOR
19%
27%
55%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
5 - 0
CAP
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Tampico Madero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
TIA
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
TAM
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 0
ZAC
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 1
TAM
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 0
UAT
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |