Celaya vs Tampico Madero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
TOR
24%
27%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
UDG
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAF
3 - 2
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOR
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 1
ZAC
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tampico Madero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 2
MER
25%
29%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
TAM
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 1
CAÑ
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UAT
2 - 0
TAM
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
ALE
13%
23%
64%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |