Celaya vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
EST
1 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
TOR
2 - 2
CHI
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
MON
2 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 1
TOL
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
5 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 0
PUM
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
TOL
6 - 2
SAN
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 2
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LEO
4 - 2
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |