Celaya vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ZAC
0 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
LOB
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
3 - 0
TOR
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
TOR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
AUR
20%
26%
55%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
AUR
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 2
PAC
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |