Celaya vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOR
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
5 - 0
TOR
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
MER
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UDG
2 - 2
REB
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
REB
2 - 1
TIJ
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
REB
64%
22%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
REB
1 - 1
VER
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
REB
0 - 0
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |