Celaya vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATS
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 0
TIG
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
AME
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
REB
1 - 0
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
REB
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
REB
3 - 1
NEC
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
2 - 1
REB
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
REB
3 - 1
PUM
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |