Celaya vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 3
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
UAT
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
BAL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 2
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 0
PUM
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
QRO
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
QRO
2 - 3
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 1
QRO
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |