Celaya vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
MER
3 - 0
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 2
NEC
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
DOR
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UAT
4 - 0
PUM
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
PUM
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
30%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |