Celaya vs La Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
IRA
3 - 1
TOR
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 1
PUM
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 1
TOR
23%
25%
51%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
GUE
2 - 2
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TOR
3 - 2
PUE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
La Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LAP
2 - 0
VER
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LAP
2 - 1
UAT
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 3
LAP
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |