Celaya vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
DOR
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
LOB
2 - 2
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 2
DOR
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PAC
0 - 1
MON
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 3
PAC
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
PAC
0 - 2
TIG
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 3
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PAC
0 - 0
ATS
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |