Celaya vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
TOR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 4
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 2
JUA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALE
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAC
3 - 1
LOB
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PAC
0 - 1
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
PAC
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 3
PUM
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
PAC
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |