Celaya vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
UAT
2 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
CAÑ
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALE
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
JUA
32%
30%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAC
1 - 0
QRO
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 1
PAC
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
3 - 2
PAC
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 2
CAZ
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PAC
3 - 2
LEO
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |