Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TAM
0 - 0
TOR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
TAM
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 0
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
NEC
18%
22%
59%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAF
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 0
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 1
VER
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 1
ALE
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 1
ZAC
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
VER
1 - 0
ALE
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |