Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
UDG
0 - 1
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
DOR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 0
UAP
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 1
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAÑ
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAF
4 - 1
ALE
35%
27%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 0
MUR
66%
22%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 2
ALE
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 3
ALE
24%
27%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |