Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
JUA
32%
30%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATL
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 1
CAF
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TEP
1 - 2
ALE
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 2
UAT
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
ALE
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
ALE
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |