Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOR
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
UDG
2 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
MOR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UAT
4 - 2
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 0
MER
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
ALE
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
ALE
49%
23%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 2
AUR
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |