Celaya vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
3 - 4
PUM
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOR
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
REB
2 - 1
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ATS
1 - 5
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
NEC
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
PUE
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
CAZ
4 - 0
NEC
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |