Celaya vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CIM
1 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 1
PAC
24%
25%
52%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
TOR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 4
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
NEC
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAF
0 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |