Celaya vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
3 - 4
PUM
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOR
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MON
4 - 1
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 0
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |