Celaya vs Mineros de Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
9º
4º
13
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 30 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 23 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 19 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 16 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 13 |
15º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
81% | 75.5% |
|
Final Series
|
14.5% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TEM
2 - 1
TOR
19%
27%
55%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
5 - 0
CAP
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
CDT
43%
25%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 0
ZAC
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TIA
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 0
ZAC
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |