Celaya vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 2
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
ZAC
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TOR
5 - 0
CDT
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 2
TOR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
CIM
3 - 2
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
DOR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 1
MER
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
TEM
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
ZAC
0 - 0
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |