Celaya vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 4
PUE
32%
25%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 4
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
4 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
VER
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
3 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 2
CAZ
22%
25%
54%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
3 - 0
DOR
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
UAT
1 - 0
LOB
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
NEC
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |