Celaya vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
PUM
5 - 0
TOR
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 2
CAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
LEO
1 - 0
MON
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
TOL
3 - 1
LEO
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
SAP
2 - 0
LEO
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1998 |
DCU
2 - 0
LEO
89%
7%
4%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1998 |
LEO
1 - 1
FIR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |