Celaya vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
MOR
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALT
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
DOR
2 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 0
IRA
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IRA
0 - 0
AUR
31%
29%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
IRA
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
QRO
2 - 0
IRA
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
IRA
1 - 0
MER
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |