Celaya vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
PUM
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
LOB
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 0
DOR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
IRA
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 1
IRA
55%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 1
NEC
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |