Celaya vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
TIG
1 - 0
TOR
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
TOR
1 - 3
PAC
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
AME
1 - 2
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
TOR
5 - 2
MOR
24%
25%
50%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOR
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
IRA
1 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
IRA
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
IRA
2 - 3
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
LEO
2 - 2
IRA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
IRA
0 - 0
PUM
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |