Celaya vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
MON
2 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 1
TOL
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 2
TOR
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
2 - 1
LEO
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CHI
3 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 0
NEC
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
LEO
1 - 2
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 2
PUM
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |