Celaya vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
4 - 3
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAT
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
TOR
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
UDG
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
DOR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
UAT
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAF
1 - 2
EST
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |