Celaya vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 3
PUE
39%
25%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 1
MON
33%
25%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 2
EST
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
EST
3 - 3
NEC
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
LEO
0 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
EST
0 - 3
PUM
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |