Celaya vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 0
UAP
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
UDG
2 - 0
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
NEC
0 - 0
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
UAT
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 2
CAÑ
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 0
CAF
44%
25%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
UAT
1 - 1
DOR
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 3
UDG
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
MER
52%
25%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |