Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Celaya vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 2
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 0
ZAC
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
LEO
4 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
DOR
3 - 0
UAT
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 1
DOR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 2
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
DOR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
3 - 2
CAF
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |