Celaya vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
PAC
15%
19%
66%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
UAT
2 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
CAÑ
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALE
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 2
TEP
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 1
CAF
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 6
TEP
24%
28%
49%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TEP
1 - 1
UAT
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 5
TEP
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |