Celaya vs Indios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MER
3 - 0
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 1
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
VER
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LAP
3 - 1
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
IND
1 - 2
IRA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 2
IND
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |