Celaya vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 0
LOR
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TAM
2 - 3
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 2
DOR
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAF
4 - 1
MER
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UAP
2 - 3
CAF
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CAF
1 - 2
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAF
0 - 0
UAT
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CAF
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |