Celaya vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
TIJ
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
VER
0 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
DOR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
UAT
3 - 1
CAF
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 1
CAF
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAF
2 - 0
NEC
37%
30%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |