Celaya vs Altamira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TOR
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
IRA
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Altamira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 0
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAP
2 - 0
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
IRA
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 1
ALT
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 0
UDG
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |