Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 3-1
Ceilândia vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
CEI
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IPO
1 - 1
CEI
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CEI
2 - 0
URO
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
RDA
0 - 7
CEI
9%
21%
71%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 2
CEI
7%
19%
74%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
CEI
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
VIT
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
SAN
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
REA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
DEM
4 - 2
VIT
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |