Ceilândia vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 2
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
APA
0 - 1
CEI
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUZ
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 1
CEI
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 2
CEI
34%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
APA
1 - 0
SOB
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 0
CRA
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BSE
3 - 2
SOB
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOB
3 - 1
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 0
SOB
28%
23%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |