Ceilândia vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 3
CEI
8%
15%
77%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
CEI
25%
23%
53%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 0
CAX
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
0 - 0
CEI
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
DOM
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | 0 |