Ceilândia vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
5 - 1
CEI
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
6 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 3
CEI
8%
15%
77%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
CEI
25%
23%
53%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 3
CEI
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
19%
19%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAP
20%
21%
60%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |