Copa Verde Last 16
Global 1-4
Ceilândia vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 3
CEI
32%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
3 - 2
TAG
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
CEI
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CEI
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
LUV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 0
MIX
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
URT
1 - 2
LUV
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MIX
2 - 4
LUV
15%
24%
60%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LUV
2 - 1
CEC
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |