Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-2
Ceilândia vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CEI
2 - 4
APA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CEN
3 - 1
CEI
55%
23%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 0
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SOB
2 - 3
CEI
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
6 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 0
FRI
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
FRI
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 1
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |