Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 0-10
Ceilândia vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 2
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 0
CEI
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CFZ
4 - 2
CEI
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 0
DUQ
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DUQ
4 - 2
OLA
67%
19%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
DUQ
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
DUQ
3 - 3
MAD
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 0
DUQ
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |